Thought experiment

 March 3, 2020

By  Daniel

It’s ten years ago.  You’re progressive, centrist or conservative.  Status quo, reformer or revolutionary.  You’re one unique and precious piece of the national mind and at some point you'd find yourself voting in a Democratic primary to determine who will face someone who in the previous month consolidated power over Congress (the Supreme Court already in hand) and immediately began a purge of the leadership of the intelligence services to go along with their command over the DOJ, FBI and.. the military.

Your choices on that fantastical day would be between two old white guys, both lifelong politicians each of whom continue to repeat the same thing they’ve been saying for decades, and a capable, smart and strong woman with a track record of accomplishments you like.

With years of experience teaching finance, this woman has loads of ideas, detailed plans and a fierce passion for monitoring, mediating and reigning in the corrupting and disproportionate influence of money in the society.

The stakes in the general election would be profound with the continued existence of the American experiment in democracy in legitimate question.

It would appear possible, even predictable, that a simple majority of votes (say, 50-54%) in the general election (electoral college or no) would be insufficient to compel a peaceful transition of power.  That if a close election were stolen in broad daylight, few would be surprised, and few would have any apparent recourse.  (btw, the adversary's supports also have most of the guns.)

So then, to be on the safe side, a ~55-60% (or more?) landslide MAY be necessary.  That exact figure would be impossible to know.

Which of these capable, well intentioned (and flawed) people would seem to be the most likely to attract support from the widest swath of the American electorate who want to (restore and) keep the democracy?

It would appear this person would need to be someone who could conceivably inspire the support of BOTH of the other two candidates in the race.  Someone who could be seen as “supportable” by both wings of the party.  AND the potential to attract support from the other party in the general election would help with prospects for achieving something approaching a national consensus.

To simplify somewhat (setting aside personal animosities in deference to democracy itself), which of the 3 could most conceivably win the full-throated support of BOTH the other candidates?  i.e.  who could, as the differences in approaches dissolve into the power of the commonalities, be the candidate whose platform and policy positions would align most closely with that of the other two?

Would it ever be too late to recognize a much better way to save your house from burning than the one most people have in mind so far?  Especially when that option is still available, and you’d be more likely to save your home?

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